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Diet quality and the risk of dying

Closer adherence to a Mediterranean-style diet score was associated with a lower risk of dying.

Where you stand

Sofi 2013 built that score directly from pooled cohort data. A separate scoring family, the Healthy Eating Index, found a similarly sized association using different foods.

Each row is one study of death risk from diet quality. The bright line is what that study found. The band around it is the range the data still supports — it fades where the evidence thins. Left of the centre line is lower risk.

what the study foundstill plausibleno change
Two groups compared
the whole gap between a high and a low
highest vs lowest Mediterranean Diet Score
Eleftheriou D, Benetou V, Trichopoulou A, La Vecchia C, Bamia C. 2018
21% lower
range 19–23% lower
highest vs lowest HEI/AHEI adherence
Onvani S, Haghighatdoost F, Surkan PJ, Larijani B, Azadbakht L. 2017
23% lower
range 22–24% lower
One step at a time
what each single increase is worth
per 2-point increase in literature-based Mediterranean diet adherence score (0–18)
Sofi F, Macchi C, Abbate R, Gensini GF, Casini A. 2013
8% lower
range 7–9% lower
per 2-point increase in Mediterranean diet adherence score
Sofi F, Cesari F, Abbate R, Gensini GF, Casini A. 2008
9% lower
range 6–11% lower
per 1-point increase in Mediterranean diet adherence score
Nucci D, Ragusa FS, Mazza E, Veronese N, Gianfredi V, Volpe M, Maggi S, Onder G, Sieber C, Zanetti M, Silano M, et al. (Mediterranean Diet Guideline Group). 2026
4% lower
range 3–5% lower

What it is

How closely your eating pattern matches a scored diet-quality index, like a Mediterranean-diet adherence score. This is a pattern built from many foods scored together, not one nutrient or one food group on its own.

How it is modeled (not scored)

Technical notes

The curve is Sofi 2013: updated meta-analysis built explicitly to derive a usable adherence score, over 4.1 million subjects pooled. Per 2-point increase in adherence score, all-cause mortality RR 0.92 (0.91–0.93). Main source: Sofi 2013. Supporting: Eleftheriou 2018 (30 studies, 225,600 deaths, highest-vs-lowest RR 0.79 (0.77–0.81); above-median meat intake was the one score component that ran the wrong direction, RR 1.07) / Onvani 2017 (competing instrument family, not a competing direction — 12 studies using the Healthy Eating Index or Alternative Healthy Eating Index instead of a Mediterranean score, highest-vs-lowest RR 0.77 (0.76–0.78), same direction and rough size, different food-group weighting, no head-to-head comparison exists) / Dinu 2018 (umbrella review of 13 observational meta-analyses and 16 RCT meta-analyses; finds robust evidence for lower mortality and several disease outcomes, but explicitly rates evidence for most site-specific cancers and for LDL cholesterol as only suggestive or weak — this is not a uniformly strong predictor across everything it gets marketed against). Sofi 2008 corroborates the per-2-point slope; the 2026 Italian-guideline pooling (Nucci) reports a different unit, per 1 point; the PREDIMED trial (Estruch 2018) is the field's central RCT evidence but reports a composite cardiovascular endpoint, not an all-cause mortality figure.

How to improve it

  • Across cohorts, the highest Mediterranean-diet scores went with 21% lower all-cause mortality than the lowest (Eleftheriou 2018)
  • Each 2-point higher adherence score went with 8% lower all-cause mortality (Sofi 2013)
  • The highest fiber intakes went with 15% lower all-cause mortality than the lowest; the greatest benefit across critical outcomes was at 25–29 g/day (Reynolds 2019)
  • In US cohorts, a modeled swap of 3% of daily energy from processed-red-meat protein to plant protein went with 34% lower all-cause mortality (Song 2016)

Sources

8 cited
  1. Song M, Fung TT, Hu FB, Willett WC, Longo VD, Chan AT, Giovannucci EL. (2016) — JAMA Internal Medicine
    Association of Animal and Plant Protein Intake With All-Cause and Cause-Specific Mortality
    View source
  2. Sofi F, Macchi C, Abbate R, Gensini GF, Casini A. (2013) — Public Health Nutrition
    Mediterranean diet and health status: an updated meta-analysis and a proposal for a literature-based adherence score
    View source
  3. Eleftheriou D, Benetou V, Trichopoulou A, La Vecchia C, Bamia C. (2018) — British Journal of Nutrition
    Mediterranean diet and its components in relation to all-cause mortality: meta-analysis
    View source
  4. Onvani S, Haghighatdoost F, Surkan PJ, Larijani B, Azadbakht L. (2017) — Journal of Human Nutrition and Dietetics
    Adherence to the Healthy Eating Index and Alternative Healthy Eating Index dietary patterns and mortality from all causes, cardiovascular disease and cancer: a meta-analysis of observational studies
    View source
  5. Dinu M, Pagliai G, Casini A, Sofi F. (2018) — European Journal of Clinical Nutrition
    Mediterranean diet and multiple health outcomes: an umbrella review of meta-analyses of observational studies and randomised trials
    View source
  6. Sofi F, Cesari F, Abbate R, Gensini GF, Casini A. (2008) — BMJ
    Adherence to Mediterranean diet and health status: meta-analysis
    View source
  7. Nucci D, Ragusa FS, Mazza E, Veronese N, Gianfredi V, Volpe M, Maggi S, Onder G, Sieber C, Zanetti M, Silano M, et al. (Mediterranean Diet Guideline Group). (2026) — Nutrition
    Adherence to the Mediterranean diet and all-cause mortality: A systematic review and meta-analysis within the Italian National Guidelines "La Dieta Mediterranea"
    View source
  8. Estruch R, Ros E, Salas-Salvadó J, Covas MI, Corella D, Arós F, Gómez-Gracia E, Ruiz-Gutiérrez V, Fiol M, Lapetra J, et al. (PREDIMED Study Investigators). (2018) — New England Journal of Medicine
    Primary Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease with a Mediterranean Diet Supplemented with Extra-Virgin Olive Oil or Nuts
    View source

Not part of your score
Diet Quality is tracked here for its research. It does not count toward the 8-marker MarkerScore. See what does in the calculator.
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